Indrajit Basu: December 2009 Archives

The Role of ICT Neglected in Copenhagen Climate Discussions

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COP 15 Media.jpgAs leaders haggle over global warming in Copenhagen and struggle for the most desirable solution of initiating a 'green revolution' without compromising economic growth, one important omission in the key areas of the global negotiations has been the use of ICT as a tool in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

While a plethora of methods and technologies that include smart grids, sustainable networks, energy-efficient data centers, telework, intelligent cars, smart buildings, energy-efficient workspaces, and even vegetarian diet are being discussed. That ICT too could be a powerful tool to mitigate the catastrophic effects of global warming seems to be missing

The fact is that even as ICT today has insignificant (estimated to be less than 2.5 percent) contribution to GHG emissions -- which is why perhaps few consider any discussion on it worthwhile, many experts feel that a more effective use of ICTs right away could yield remarkable results in helping reduce total global emissions going forward.

Quite a few studies recently have been trying to establish that fact. Take the SMART 2020 -- the first ever study on the role ICT can play for a low carbon economy -- that The Climate Group prepared on behalf of the Global eSustainability Initiative (GeSI), an international strategic partnership of ICT companies.

"In total, ICTs could deliver approximately 7.8 GtCO2e of emissions savings in 2020. This represents 15% of emissions in 2020 based on BAU estimation. It represents a significant proportion of the reductions below 1990 levels that scientists and economists recommend by 2020 to avoid dangerous climate change. In economic terms, the ICT-enabled energy efficiency translates into approximately $946.5 billion of cost savings," the study said.

In other words, the 15% reduction in total global emissions that more effective use of ICTs could achieve (by 2020) is five times higher than the estimated emissions for the whole ICT sector in 2020. The GeSI also estimates that these reductions could deliver energy efficiency savings to global businesses of over $740 billion.

Indeed, even if many blame technological innovation for the unfortunate consequence of creating unforeseen environmental damage, there's no denying that ICT at least is a profitable opportunity and has a critical role to play as well with other sectors to design and deploy solutions needed to create a low carbon society.

"It's quite simple. In order to avoid catastrophic climate change and stay well below 2 degrees warming we need to decarbonize our economy in 20-40 years," says Lasse Gustavsson, CEO WWF. "It is only possible if we fully utilize modern ICT solutions and drastically increase efficiency and invest in sustainable renewables. This is a must if we want to secure an energy future for 9 billion people."

Gustavsson's claims in terms of ICT's ability to impact billions single-handedly may look tall, but his observations are not really without basis. 

Consider these proof points:

According to ITU, strategies like the universal charger for mobile phones, which has just been standardized by ITU, will deliver an estimated 50% reduction in standby energy consumption, eliminate 51,000 tons of redundant chargers, and cut GHG emissions by 13.6 million tons annually. 

A study conducted by the European Telecommunication Network Operators' association (ETNO) and the WWF, showed that by replacing of 20% of business travel in EU-25 countries by non-travel solutions (such as videoconferencing), it would be possible to avoid some 22 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions per year.

Also amazing is, how significantly anyone -- including you and I -- can contribute to reduction of GHG by simply altering some of our consumption habits. 

Dematerialization for instance - where bits replace physical goods - can play an important role in reducing GHGs by reducing or even entirely eliminating the need for manufacturing and transport. Examples are e-mail, online billing, online submission of government forms, downloads to replace music CDs, video DVDs, magazines and books, and so on. 

Similarly did you know that every time you don't go to office and decide to work from home you contribute a fair bit in helping the world breathe easy?

According to ITU, every one million telecommuters working from home in  Europe, can help save one million tons of GHG emissions annually. In  the United States, where commuting distances tend to be longer, the savings are higher. ITU has found that the country already has 3.9 million telecommuters who save up to 14 million ton of GHG annually.

"Even conservative estimates show that the contribution ICT to addressing climate change can be significant," says Hiroshi Ota, the official at ITU who works on the organization's efforts to include ICT in global climate change negotiations." Without the application of ICT the kind of reduction we are talking about in 2050 will be impossible to achieve. But unfortunately its role does not find its way into the current draft text of UN's COP 15 Copenhagen Climate Change Conference."

According to ITU then, specific mention of the ICT sector, along with the adoption of an agreed methodology for measuring the carbon footprint of ICT equipment and its inclusion in National Adaptation/Mitigation Plans is imperative as a key point in the ongoing UN's COP 15 Copenhagen Climate Change Conference.

That,according to ITU, would  not only provide an incentive to the ICT industry to invest in developing countries and help reduce the digital divide, but at the same time also help fight climate change.

A win-win scenario indeed!

Photo COP 15 Media Center from UN Climate Talks Pool - CC Attribution-Noncommercial 2.0 Generic




Frame-up Virus Could Haunt Government Departments

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frame up.jpg

It's a story straight out of a crime movie: You are a not-so-scrupulous businessman trying to get, let us say, an out-of-turn permit from a government department. You are confronted with this brutally honest officer who can neither be forced nor be lured with a bribe. If you are not vicious, you may accept your situation. But if you are, and tech savvy too, there's help at hand. Get hold of a professional hacker, pay him to plant illegal content in the officer's computer, and then tip off his boss.

Chances are that the officer would either be moved or lose his job.

The trouble is, this movie-like scenario has become reality. A recent investigation highlights how malware can plant illegal content, like child porn, on innocent people's computers without their knowledge, And it is not just citizens who could find themselves victims in trouble with law enforcement. Experts say that employees of the government departments may be even more vulnerable to this kind of attack by hackers.

"Government officials, due to the sensitivity of their position, tend to be a pretty desirable target for hackers anyway. So as an expert I would be a little bit more concerned if I were working in the government than may be an average citizen or even a high profile corporate chief," says Jeff Michael Fischbach, a Los Angeles-based certified forensic technologist.

He says, with the sophistication and complexity of hacking crimes, there are now a plethora of techniques and viruses that can plant illegal content into the computers of innocent people without leaving a trail.

Fischbach added that government officers particularly face much greater risks because, in the U.S. at least, most of their emails addresses and other electronic contact details are listed and are thus very easy to find.

The threat isn't as far-fetched as some might suppose. Take what happened to Michael Fiola, an ex-investigator at the Massachusetts Workers' Compensation Advisory in Massachusetts. A few weeks ago, an Associated Press (AP) investigation revealed that in 2007 Fiola was charged and eventually fired by the Massachusetts attorney general's office for storing child porn in his state-issued laptop.

Fiola was innocent in so far as he didn't put the porn there. But it took him 11 months of court battle and a quarter million dollars of legal fees to prove that he not commit this crime.

Moreover, his acquittal came quite by chance. A defense finding stumbled upon a virus in his laptop that was programmed to implement the physically impossible task of visiting 40 child porn sites per minute, reported Associated Press.

Beyond just a curious case of creative cyber-crime, security experts view this as yet another example of how sophisticated cyber-crime is becoming.

"Hacking is getting increasingly sophisticated. There are now a growing number of viruses that not just simply change files, but, with the help of botnets, are usually able to install multiple functionalities with objectives like searching hard drives, sending out emails, attacking other users, and even dumping illegal content on hard drives for a framing-up," says Jonathan Logan, a UK-based expert, with Roque Holding, a boutique security consultancy outfit.

"Threats from these hacking methods increase manifold for government departments and officials because besides economic profits, there are many other motivations; an attack can disrupt the operations of the whole department" added Logan. "Imagine how easy it would be to implicate or replace for instance a building inspector, who doesn't take bribes."

Experts say hacking has not only become sophisticated, it has also become cheap -- very cheap in fact.

"Some of the things you can ask for on the black-market is a botnet operator who will attempt to access to a specific computer, based on details like an email address, or all users that have a particular email address in their address books," says Logan.

"All this can come for a mere US $50 per thousand hacked computers," added Logan, "and most importantly, in very large and sophisticated spying cases, it is tremendously hard to trace back the source of the attack."

Consequently hacking attempts are getting increasingly frequent and regular. Estimates suggest that at any point in time there are over 100 million hacked websites. And it is not uncommon today for a medium sized hosting platform to experience several hundred hacking attempts per day.

"For servers that host sensitive websites like government departments, stock market brokers, banks, etc, the frequency of attempts could be much higher," says Logan.

According to security software maker F-Secure Corp, millions of PCs worldwide get infected every day with viruses that could give hackers full control.

Unnerving numbers indeed, but a bigger concern is, as says Logan, "there's very little a government department can do to prevent such attacks."

Typically complex network like those found in government departments, financial institutions, etc, need very high level of security to be sufficiently tamper-proof. "But the problem is, in doing so, machines become very difficult to be used by an ordinary user," says Logan.

"The other problem is that most average individual users in government departments do not really understand their own computer security," says Fischbach "They are usually relying on somebody else to interpret security for them. And when another person manages somebody else's computer security, it is rarely a number-one priority."

So, can a government department really do something to stop hacking attacks or frame-up viruses? Uninamously, experts say no. But it is possible to make it very hard for a criminal to hack into a sensitive computer.

For that they suggest a few safeguards, the most effective of which is to ensure that the user's online identity remains hidden.

"The first step is maintenance of a strict communication hygiene, which means that the user should make sure that an official computer is not used for any sort of private communication in the workplace," says Logan. "Do not surf sites that are not directly work related. Do not go to the bank. Do not send emails to your family or friends from the office computer. These reduce the vector of attacks to a large extent."

Other useful safeguards include exposing only those government computers that need Internet access. "Not all government computers require Internet access," says Logan.

Making sure that the only way of communication within the department is through servers of the department, is another safeguard; and important too is ensuring anonymity for network connections through data encryption. These, according to Logan, make hacking extremely costly, which is a natural deterrent.

"But the most important thing to remember is that humans are hackers' biggest vulnerability," says Fischbach. "One human click on the wrong link or one wrong plugging-in can create havoc for the whole network."

Photo by Asbjørn Sørensen Poulsen. CC Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 2.0 Generic