Paul Weinberg: January 2010 Archives

Intelligence Based Police

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Sam Nunn.jpg

The police appear divided on the volumes of information stored on databases coming their way.

So, observes criminologist Samuel Nunn who has local Indianapolis police officers attend his class on crime and technology which he teaches every other year at Indiana University.

While "the administrative brain trust," heading the Indianapolis police department is never going to turn down data coming their way the lower level patrol officers only want stuff that is going to help them do their jobs, he says.

"The local level officers are not as impressed with all of this information generating capacity as their bosses," says Nunn.

He reports from conversations with his students that it is the common technologies embodied in the laptops, PDAs, cell phones and wireless devices in general plus applications like GPS that excites them the most.

Yes to global positioning systems or a tool that details the history of an address including the number of police calls made to it.

On the other hand, "to hell with that," is the general attitude towards more esoteric stuff like data mining, Nunn finds.

What has come to be known as intelligence led policing, itself a product of 9/11 and the counter terrorist impulse emanating from Washington seems to be receiving a mixed response at the street cop level.

An intelligence based approach involves "connecting the dots," the lack of which we are told led intelligence and policing pre-9/11 at the national level in the US to ignore credible reports from sources that terrorist attacks were about to occur.

Intelligence analysts in policing, especially in the cross country fusion centers, have become the norm as a result of that failure. Their job is to spot for what is called in the trade, "precursor crime."

But the ineptitude surrounding the Christmas bomber's ability to get onto a flight from Amsterdam to Detroit shows that the compiling of hundreds of thousands of names on various watch lists of people has not made American any safer.

The challenge, says Nunn, is that analyzing electronically stored data for potential threats "is tougher to do," than old fashioned talking to people on the street and developing leads in the solving of a crime.

"More information is clearly better than less information, but more information at some point can block you up."

80,000 people including one recently publicized eight year old boy will get pulled aside annually at US airports for special interrogation by authorities before they are able to board a plane.

But those absurdities have not lessened the love affair with intelligence based policing.

What we are dealing with here, Nunn wrote a few years ago, are billions of bytes of data on individuals circulating among police agencies. They include criminal histories, assets, debt, locations at particular times, purchase patterns, biometric identifiers (fingerprints, photographs, DNA samples), etc.

"At any given moment, thousands of inquiries are sent through dozens of regional, national, and international systems seeking answers to questions about people's identity, where they are, what they have done, or what more other agencies and agents know about these individuals. In 2005 the FBI's National Crime Information Center (NCIC) averaged 4.5 million inquiries per day."

Meanwhile, popular American culture has played a significant role in nurturing some misconceptions about the technological capabilities of law enforcement and intelligence agencies. Nunn cites the film, Enemies of the State, as a prime example

 "People's expectations get pumped by fictional treatments of crime and police technology. You can see it turning into pressure to get local police or any police agency to modernize and to get better at what they do."

In the cultural narrative depicted in movies like  Minority Report and televisions shows like 24 and CSI the good guys always uncover the conspiracies concocted by the terrorist, which Nunn has dubbed as "the boogeyman of the 21 century."

Writes Nunn, "This model helps us accept 9/11 as an interruption or aberration. Looking back, we had the pieces if only someone had put them together: the plot was within our grasp. Heroic FBI agents wrote memos, villainous or incompetent supervisors ignored them or, worse, destroyed them."

If terrorists are sneaking around in an urban setting, American authorities in these films, rely on surveillance technology to root them out, Nunn observes.

"If we know a sleeper cell is operating in a city's neighborhood, the authorities can place the cell under surveillance with visual monitoring, communications interception, dialed number logs, video taping, credit card purchases, and other transaction footprints used to build a virtual sphere of information control. Alternatively, we can figure out what terrorists 'look like' through profiling, find them, surveil them, uncover their plans, and incarcerate them. We will process information to prevent terrorism."

Therefore, it is not surprising to discover that the US government under George Bush made an effort after 9/11 to encourage the making of films where potential scenarios of criminal actions were played out in a fictional format to help Washington develop real counter terrorism tactics.

Nunn says that some Hollywood productions and planned TV shows were altered or postponed after 9/11 either because of fears the depicted violent strategies could be successfully imitated by real terrorists or they had the potential to cause a public panic. 

Photo of Sam Nunn courtesy of Indiana University.


Information Overload Kills

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Information overload kills

The following may appear strange to the dutiful readers of this blog and Digital Communities in general.

The political kerfuffle in Washington over a failed effort on Christmas Day to ignite an explosive device on a Northwest Airlines' passenger air plane approaching Detroit from Amsterdam demonstrates the limitations of security technology today.

This columnist has written about the millions of unverifiable names, which have sat rotting away inside giant US government terrorism watch list databases since 9/11.

Now, we have an example of a would-be airplane bomber who was undone not by any security infrastructure built in place -- but by his own incompetence in terms of handling a liquid explosive material and the quick wittedness of fellow airplane passengers who scrambled to stop the 23 year old Nigerian, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab from doing any further damage.

One complaint is that there are insufficient numbers of skilled intelligence analysts within the US government with the ability to spot genuine terror threats among the volumes of electronically stored emails, telephone calls and other forms of private communications.

Another is that there are too many bureaucratic layers within US intelligence to allow for a coherent approach.

But the bigger issue is really human capacity to absorb only so much data and analyze it, even with all of the sophisticated software tools at hand.

"No matter how sophisticated or exotic, [the databases] are not likely to succeed in helping [to] find needles in haystacks that are constantly being fed more hay. Not this decade anyway," states Coleen Rowley, a former FBI special agent for 24 years and a member of the Steering Group of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity.

In a recent interview she makes the important point that it is US foreign policy and military overkill -alluding to places like Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan Somalia, and Yemen -- that is radicalizing more local people and creating more terrorists in the process.

The US government data bases, writes Middle East expert and blogger Juan Cole, are at the heart of a failed US led campaign which has tended "to cast a broad net" to ward off terrorism.

"You catch terrorists with good police work. You look at networks, suspicious behavior, clues. Ignoring the desperate pleas of a father who goes to the CIA with information about his son being radicalized in Yemen but then patting down 170 million Nigerians ever after is brain dead."

Cole is referring to the Obama's administration's list of countries whose citizens will be subject to extraordinary scrutiny by American border officials.

But the combination of pat downs, long rounds of interrogation and the naked exposure of passengers with high tech whole body scanners will only "tax and tire" the airport inspectors and thus make them "less alert," he adds.

I guess what I am trying to say is that the hysteria around international security in the air is ignoring our own human limitations that cannot be easily solved through technology.

The latest manifestation is the new $150,000 a pop body scanners which are being installed with much haste in airports around the world. Based on the millimeter wave sensor technology they are designed to do what critics are calling "digital strip searches."

However the new scanners would not have caught the recently dubbed underwear bomber, technical experts have told the London Independent.

Abdulmutallab was allegedly concealing in his underpants on the Northwest flight a package containing nearly 3 ounces of the chemical powder PETN (pentaerythritol tetranitrate). Also, he carried a syringe containing a liquid accelerant for the purposes of detonating the explosive.

The Independent spoke to Ben Wallace, a Conservative MP, who was formerly involved in a project by a leading British defense research firm to develop the scanners for airport use. He told the newspaper that such trials indicated that low density chemicals, liquids and plastics can go undetected with these devices.

On the other hand, the new scanners will spot high- density material such as metal, knives; guns and dense plastic such as the C4 explosive.

Journalist James Ridgeway at Mother Jones magazine makes note of how the former Department of Homeland Security Michael Chertoff, frequently popping up here and there promoting the new scanners, is actually now a paid lobbyist in Washington for one of the leading whole body imaging machine makers, Rapiscan Systems.

Because the new body scanners cannot detect what terrorists might put inside their bodies, the next generation of intrusive technology down the pipe for airports might come straight out of the UK prisons, Ridgeway reports.

He points to the Body Orifice Security Scanner or BOSS chair (how Monty Pythoneque!) which has been compared to an electric chair and is largely used to track cell phones, shivs, and other dangerous contraband that has been swallowed or inserted into body cavities by inmates. "So far, it only detects metal, but you never know," says Ridgeway.